I suppose I’m a left-of-center liberal who flirts w/ anarchism & libertarianism. Thr’s a lot of alt, electronic, exp’tal, & “world” music I like. I’m working on fan-fix-tion for The Handmaid’s Tale and Star Trek.

my avatar: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Miou-Miou_mit-Partner-5713.jpg

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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 29th, 2023

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  • Before the debate, I wasn’t sure who’d win: Biden or Trump.

    Even Allen Lichtman was unsure.

    After the debate, I figure Biden will lose.

    I’m not saying it’s an absolute certainty—we have 4 months and many things could happen. If someone offered to bet me their $500 that Trump will win to my $100 on Biden winning, I’d take it.

    If Biden is replaced, I think he’d be more likely to lose.

    If he was elected, Biden needn’t serve all 4 years: he could resign a few months later, make Harris President, and AOC, Sanders, Newsom, whatever, as VP.

    As I think Biden will lose, one might want to vote their hearts.

    Keep in mind, it might be dependent on states.

    wp:2020 United States presidential election#Results by state

    If 2.5 million Californians who voted for Biden instead voted for RJK Jr, Stein, and West in 2024, Biden (or his replacement) would still probably win all 55 Electoral College votes of that state.

    If the 5 million Texans who voted for Biden, also, instead voted RJK Jr, Stein, and West in 2024, Biden would lose no more Electoral College votes.



  • If that’s so, then why would most of those “Libertarians” vote for Republicans over Democrats who better align with those goals?

    They aren’t really Libertarians. They might vote GOP because they read the Libertarian Party platform and didn’t like it.

    https://www.lp.org/platform/

    Therefore, we favor the repeal of all laws creating “crimes” without victims, such as gambling, the use of drugs for medicinal or recreational purposes, and consensual transactions involving sexual services.

    We support the maintenance of a sufficient military to defend the United States against aggression. The United States should both avoid entangling alliances and abandon its attempts to act as policeman for the world. We oppose any form of compulsory national service.

    We support the removal of governmental impediments to free trade. Political freedom and escape from tyranny demand that individuals not be unreasonably constrained by government in the crossing of political boundaries. Economic freedom demands the unrestricted movement of human as well as financial capital across national borders.

    They want wealthy business owners to be their rulers.

    Many want no rulers.

    The problem with government isn’t that it exists. It’s that it’s been captured by wealthy business owners. Why do we have so much military around the world? To protect the interest of wealthy business owners. Why do we have so many tariffs in place? To protect the interest of wealthy business owners. Why do we have so many restrictions on immigration in place? To protect the work Supply and low wage Workforce for wealthy business owners. Why do we have so many drugs made illegal. Because it suits the wealthy and powerful.

    and with less government, arguably, they’d have less of a tool to promote their interests.









  • Trump is (or was) a billionaire, a TV celebrity, who shat on his GOP rivals during the 2016 primaries and was content enough to threaten to run as an independent and allow Clinton to win if he wasn’t nominated. That he regarded politicians from both parties with contempt was part of the attraction.

    If Canada can’t elect a female PM or have a Liberal (or NDP) female PM, what makes you think that the US will elect a woman as President?

    While a lot would like her more leftist positions—she might have to reiterate that the US should stop funding Israel and that what’s happening in Gaza is a genocide, and her view on a 100% tariff on EVs—the GOP and party centrists would have a field day.

    But yeah, it might be a good thing.